AI in Politics – Jan26 – Download .pdf here
Artificial Intelligence in Politics
AI has the potential to change politics and policy making. In fact, it is already doing this. Look at the way social media is using AI to influence election outcomes. However, we need to recruit AI to improve political processes, not seize control of them.
If we do not take stock of this now, there is a real danger that the important decisions influencing UK society will be increasingly made by people and organisations outside the UK political arena. Decision-making processes will become more hidden from public view and the opportunity for debate, scrutiny and accountability will be lost.
In contrast there are many ways in which AI can be used to enhance democratic processes. In the short term, it can enable better civil engagement, aid policy insights and forecasting, increase administrative efficiency and make political processes more transparent. In the longer term it can lead to constitutional innovation, facilitate deliberative democracy, make explicit the trade-offs between the interests of different groups, critique proposed legislation from multiple perspectives, co-ordinate central and local plans, and generally augment government decision-making at all levels.
However, changes to the processes of political and policy decision-making are hugely difficult. Our current systems are deeply embedded and entangled. Habit, complexity and vested interests are intimately related barriers to any change and especially so in relation to political decision-making itself. And often rightly so, because processes that have stood the test of time are important to keep and not disrupt. But AI has come out of left field as a major disruptor to almost everything and its implication for political decision making must be assessed and absorbed. To achieve this, we need to not just focus on how AI can be used to enhance the economy but also how AI can be used to enhance the political decision-making processes themselves.
We are in danger of rolling out AI such that it merely automates our current ways of going about things, embedding some poor practices even further. However, abrupt and radical change is also unacceptable because it is disruptive and de-stabilizing. What is needed is a firm and agreed vision based on sound principles, and a plan of managed transition that works towards new ways of making political decisions incorporating AI, that are based on best practice (e.g. evidence driven, comprehensively consulted, robustly modelled and tested etc.).
This brief paper is a call for us to take stock of what has already been done, both in the research and practice, in using AI for political and policy formulation, decision-making, implementation, monitoring and iterative revision. This sets out the landscape so that we can better plan the journey ahead and help head-off a situation where players outside parliament (large corporations, foreign governments, the media etc.) use their increasingly powerful command of AI to determine the political agenda.
